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Selection of a Market Cost Function

In the selection of a market cost function we looked for a relation between the total network replacement costs and the number of lines in the service area.

SPSS for Windows was used to perform a regression line fitting to the replacement cost data from our 14 study service areas. We selected the Power curve which obtained the best fit.

The Power function has the following form.

  equation58

The estimated power fuction has a tex2html_wrap_inline237 and a tex2html_wrap_inline239 .gif An F value was computed to test how well the regression model fits the data. This was F=142.58 with significance level .00001. Although not a statistically comparative measure, the tex2html_wrap_inline241 values shows how the observed data points fit to the Power curve that was estimated. This was tex2html_wrap_inline241 =.92237 with standard error =.18767. In short, this is the network cost function for the incumbent LEC, in our study Provider 0.

To estimate the network cost function for the new entrant we make use of the Reed study.[11] He reported on new construction costs of Fiber-to-the-Neighborhood Networks, with cable to the home. Penetration rates in his study were based on reasonable levels if a cable company were to compete against a telephone company. The lowest average cost per subscriber was estimated for the case of an Integrated Network for Telephone and Distributed Video Services with penetration rates of 20 tex2html_wrap_inline247 and 40 tex2html_wrap_inline247 respectively. For this case, the average cost per subscriber was 1420 U.S. dollars.

If the Total Network Costs from our Table 1a. and 1b. are summed and divided by the total number of households we compute an average cost per subscriber of 902.36 U.S. dollars for our combined study region. We take the ratio of these two average costs, which is 1.57, and use that to differentiate costs of two providers in our interactive game model. We assume that the incumbent Provider 0 and the new entrant Provider 1 have cost functions that are the same shape. But we multiply the costs of the new entrant by a factor of 1.57.


next up previous
Next: Selection of an Access Up: Local Exchange Competition: A Previous: Replacement Cost Data

Judith Molka-Danielsen
Wed Sep 10 14:34:53 CEST 1997